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1998 - 1999
1997 - 1998
SACS
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ENVIRONMENTAL
SCAN 2001 - 2002
1. Social/Demographic Trends
- A higher percentage of beginning freshmen who enroll in institutions
of higher education will attend community colleges.
- The historic consistency of the proportion of nontraditional undergraduate
and graduate students, including older students and those who are parents,
at SHSU is expected to continue.
- The SHSU student body will become more diversified during the next
decade. African-American, Hispanic, and Native American and other minority
student populations will continue to grow.
- More full-time students will be employed while attending school.
- The requirements of the nontraditional student will necessitate changes
in traditional university calendars, schedules, and instructional and
student delivery systems including student services at The University
Center and other locations.
- The University will face more competition for students from an increasing
number and diversity of providers of educational services
- Public concerns related to safety, crime, and alcohol issues will
grow.
- The percentage of out-of-state students who enroll in Texas institutions
of higher education will remain relatively stable unless stimulated
by incentives.
- The percentage of student participation in international education
will increase in Texas institutions of higher education.
- The current gender ratio in colleges and universities will remain
stable. More colleges will likely see their student bodies become predominantly
female as women prepare for careers in the new millennium.
- The need for continuing professional education for workers in Texas
will increase.
- A growing number of spouses will enter the work force, requiring continued
increasing needs for quality childcare and Saturday classes.
- Sensitivity toward diverse lifestyles and backgrounds will increase
as students demand more personal rights.
- Demand for certified teachers will grow and community colleges will
be allowed to certify teachers.
- National public health recommendations and trends will impact students
and the university in the area of immunology. Stricter epidemiological
regulations, public opinion, and changing trends of infectious diseases
may require major review and action in university policy related to
these areas
- p. National and local health insurance changes may require reconsideration
of policies.
2. Economic Trends
- Although total appropriation dollars will increase, dollars per student
enrolled, controlled for inflation, will decline.
- Demands for support of non-educational services statewide will increase.
- There may be a move to allocate student financial aid directly to
students rather than through the formula to institutions.
- The information and service sectors of the economy will increase in
importance.
- Universities will continue to increase their scholarship funds in
order to provide more financial aid.
- Loans or prepaid tuition plans may increasingly supplement federal
grant programs as primary support sources of student financial support.
- The Texas economy will remain strong and modest economic growth can
be anticipated in the three-county primary student source area.
- Small entrepreneurial businesses between Huntsville and North Houston
will increase in number, increasing the market for graduates with these
qualifications.
- Grantors and funding sources will look for more multi-disciplinary
and multi-organizational proposals and projects.
- Society, business, and government will show an increasing need for
applied and problem-solving/problem-oriented research.
- TDCJ will continue as a major employer for this area.
3. Technological Trends
- Information literacy gained through the ability to use technology
will be an underlying principle of quality education for the next century.
- More powerful computing devices linked to expanding and higher-speed
campus, state, national, and international networks will provide students,
faculty, and staff access to a continuously expanding menu of information
and computing resources.
- New technologies, computer-assisted instruction, and computer-based
instruction will require expanding development programs for staff, faculty,
and administration.
- The increase in technological support for faculty and staff will demand
a substantial increase in information resources.
- University activities in distance learning will dramatically increase
and could substantially affect on-campus enrollments and lead to cooperative
programs with secondary schools.
- Advanced technology will change the way classroom instruction and
library services are delivered.
- Nontraditional educational organizations will begin to deliver higher
education via distance learning.
- Use of technology will become increasingly less dependent on location.
- Computer applications will become more user-friendly.
- The demands for the teaching of technological skills will continue
to increase.
- Advanced technology will change the way some student services are
delivered.
4. Trends in Higher Education
- Successful appropriation requests for state assistance will be tied
directly to agency and state strategic plans and associated assessment.
- Increased emphasis on college and university accountability is requiring
more outcomes assessment, benchmarking, and institutional research.
Each major may soon be evaluated with standardized test.
- A greater interdependence among the public schools, private schools,
community colleges, and universities will evolve and lead ultimately
to the more efficient use of education dollars.
- Flexible, alternative methods of and locations for delivering academic
programs will become more common in higher education. This trend will
necessitate concomitant changes in delivery of academic advising and
other student services to ensure that students receive the same quality
services at off-campus sites as they do on campus.
- The knowledge explosion is leading to greater difficulty in keeping
the baccalaureate degree within a traditional four-year program causing
public concern with the lengthening educational process.
- There will be a high demand for newly certified teachers, special
education teachers, math teachers, school counselors, and school psychologists.
- TDCJ needs for trained personnel will increase.
- College curricula are being internationalized and exchange programs
are expanding as a result of an increasing need for global awareness.
The demand for foreign language instruction will increase.
- The variety of community college programs seeking transferability
will increase.
- Universities will increase their focus on teaching and move toward
a broader definition of scholarship.
- Interdisciplinary programs will become more common (e.g., environmental
science).
- Alternate credentials in the public schools and other areas requiring
licensing or certification will become more common.
- Increased salary competition from the public schools and private agencies
and aging of the workforce will make attracting and retaining faculty
and staff more difficult.
- More high school seniors will want college credit courses integrated
with the secondary school schedule and, therefore, will want to utilize
university services. The trend may move from dual enrollment to advanced
placement classes to improve quality or shorten the traditional four-year
program.
- The percentage of higher education students speaking English as a
second language will increase.
- The demand for program-specific accreditation will increase.
- Pressure to improve student retention rates will increase.
- The traditional definition of faculty workload and productivity expectations
will change as the result of technology.
5. Political/Legal Trends
- The Texas legislature will demand greater emphasis and accountability
for meeting the Texas Access and Equity Plan goals of diversity for
faculty, staff, and students.
- State and federal regulation of public higher education will increase
and will result in increased expenditures to document compliance.
- Diversity and equity will become increasingly complex in Texas.
- There is potential for realignment of higher education entities in
Texas.
- The formula as a mechanism for state funding of higher education in
Texas will not change substantially and will continue to place an emphasis
on enrollment.
- Changes in the distribution of Higher Education Assistance Fund (HEAF)
resources are anticipated.
- The trend toward regionalization may result in the emergence of more
multi-institutional teaching centers (MITCs), which will negatively
impact campus enrollments.
- Communities will continue to pressure lawmakers for their own locally
developed and controlled higher education options.
- Universities will increasingly be tested in the courts.
- The demand to purchase university goods and services from historically
underutilized businesses (HUBs) will increase.
- Universities will play a more active role in addressing student loan
default rates.
6. Physical Facility Trends
- Technological needs will include equipping classrooms with computers,
telecommunications equipment, instructional multi-media equipment, microwave
utilization, and wiring rooms in all residence halls.
- Fees to support computer access and library resources and for field-based,
weekend, or distance programs will need to be implemented or raised.
- Funding from the legislature for new buildings and maintenance of
existing buildings will continue to be modest during the next ten years.
- State and federal regulations will continue to require that priority
be given to some modification to facilities, e.g., ADA.
7. Trends in Philanthropy
- The university operation will draw an increasing portion of its support
from philanthropic sources.
- The growing number of nonprofit organizations will increase the competition
for the philanthropic dollar.
- Establishment of an annual giving program will lead to greatly enhanced
university development activities.
- An increasingly mobile society will challenge SHSU's ability to track
its alumni. Technological advances also will impact the process by which
SHSU raises money, especially through the Internet, direct mail, and
telefund.
- Any changes in tax laws, both income and estate, will impact the work
of fund raising. Additional changes in inheritance tax laws could affect
the size of charitable gifts through planned giving vehicles.
- The growth of international figures in the world of philanthropy will
impact charitable giving. With the shifting of wealth to other areas
of the world, a challenge will be to appeal to alumni from other cultures.
- The importance of researching alumni and friends will increase as
the university strives to increase and substantiate its pool of known
major gift and planned gift prospects.
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