Gibson D. Lewis
Center for Business Research and Economic Development
THE IMPACT OF STRATEGY, INDUSTRY AND CULTURE ON FORECASTING THE PERFORMANCE OF GLOBAL COMPETITORS: A STRATEGIC PERSPECTIVE
JEFFREY P. KATZ, MARILYN T. ZARZESKI, AND H. JOHN HALL
Abstract
This study examines how business strategy, industry competitive environment and national culture affect the accuracy and level of agreement among financial analysts who predict the future earnings of international competitors. Recent research has reported the increasing importance played by financial analysts regarding the stock price and market value of firms. Analysts' forecasts of performance have been found to significantly affect the cost of capital, valuation and stock price changes of firms. As the incidence of cross-national mergers and acquisitions continues to escalate, understanding factors that systematically affect performance predictions becomes increasingly important, especially for firms employing cross-national merger or acquisition strategies. We find that business strategies affect the accuracy of analysts' performance estimates while national culture plays an important role in determining the level of agreement among analysts' predictions. Implications and plans of action for international management practitioners and researchers are discussed
Gibson D. Lewis
Center For Business and
Economic Development
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